// PRODUCT
The only risk workflow built on 6,815 verified startup autopsies. From structural match to IC-ready memo — in one platform, without manual work.
A startup is matched against 6,815+ verified autopsies across 15 structural dimensions: sector, country, funding stage, moat type and strength, hype cycle position, business model, B2B/B2C, founding year, archetype, primary fatal mistake, and more. A Naive Bayes + retrieval ensemble (V12) predicts the most likely failure causes — 90% Top-3 accuracy, 82% primary cause accuracy, validated on n=6,089. When a secondary cause is also identified, Top-3 accuracy improves by a further +8pp. No black box — every score is traceable to specific signals.
Kaplan-Meier survival curves built from real collapse sequences — not industry averages or analyst opinion. For your matched cohort, you get survival probability at 12, 24, and 36 months. Rates are stratified by dominant cause, so you can see whether the risk peaks early (PMF failure) or late (unit economics/scaling).
Three output formats generated from your match results — each targeting a different audience. IC Memo: full risk analysis with score rationale, cause breakdown, survival interpretation, top 3 comparable collapses, DD questions, and LP-ready language. IC 1-pager: condensed executive summary for committee review. LP Note: investor-facing narrative framing the risk in portfolio context. Now includes the Full Diligence Brief — a single-click export that orchestrates risk assessment, LP narrative, DD questions, and failure analogues into one shareable PDF. Average prep time: 2 minutes vs. 3 hours manually. The 3–4 hours your analyst spends building this, automated — without sacrificing analytical rigour.
Add companies under evaluation and score them with the same engine as Risk Matching — inverted. Survival score = 100 − risk score. Sort your pipeline from most structurally sound to most at-risk. Import deals directly from Airtable, Notion, or Affinity (Fund plan). CSV import and manual entry on Analyst plan. Red flag reports and targeted DD questions are generated automatically for each scored deal.
Weekly or daily structural risk alerts across your full portfolio. When a company matches new historical patterns — shifted hype cycle position, new funding stage, changed business model — you get notified with the updated risk score and the specific signals that triggered the change. Only structural shifts that move the score by a meaningful threshold.
Sync risk analysis results directly into your Notion deal rooms, Airtable portfolio trackers, Affinity CRM, Visible reports, Excel workbooks, or Google Sheets. Risk scores, cause distributions, and comparable collapses appear as structured fields — no copy-paste, no reformatting. Your existing workflow gains risk intelligence without adding tool overhead. Outbound webhooks push portfolio_score_changed events to your endpoint the moment a risk score is updated. Configure in the Developer Hub. Risk scores are also written automatically to Affinity fields and Notion database properties — no manual sync needed.
Every shared risk analysis has a team annotations panel. Analysts add investment committee notes, flag due-diligence issues, or record follow-up questions directly on the analysis. All team members see the same thread, in context. No Slack thread to lose, no comment buried in a spreadsheet.
UnicornBurn scans the web daily for every company in your portfolio and surfaces categorised signals — funding rounds, leadership changes, regulatory actions, competitive moves, product launches — directly in your feed. No manual searches, no missed signals.
A REST API that makes our autopsy database a structured data layer for your existing infrastructure. Pull failure data into proprietary scoring models, fund management systems, or research pipelines — without rebuilding what you already have. Filter across sector, collapse style, hype cycle phase, moat type, geography, funding stage, business model, and timeline events. Paginated JSON responses, no SDK required. Rate limits scale with your plan; full 6,815-autopsy dataset on Fund tier.
// VALIDATED ACCURACY
// GET STARTED
Free account gives you 1 risk match. No card required. The full platform — IC memos, deal scouting, collaborative annotations, portfolio signals — starts at €199/month.