All autopsies

// STARTUP COMPARISON

Chekout vs Wirecard

Chekout failed in 2022 due to Competition. Wirecard failed in 2020 due to Fraud. Different causes, different sectors, different eras — but the same simulation outcome.

METRIC🔥 Chekout🔥 Wirecard
SectorFintechFintech
CountryChileGermany
Founded20191999
Died20222020
Raised$12MPublic (DAX)
Peak$12M raised€24B market cap
Primary CauseCompetitionFraud

// WHY EACH FAILED

🔥 Chekout
Competition
Chekout built a buy-now-pay-later checkout solution for Chilean e-commerce merchants. After raising $12M, MercadoLibre's Mercado Crédito launched BNPL functionality embedded directly into MercadoLibre's marketplace — where most Chilean e-commerce happens. Simultaneously Falabella launched CMR Cuotas for its marketplace. Chekout's addressable market collapsed to independent stores without marketplace presence. Unable to raise a Series B, it shut down in 2022.
// LESSON
BNPL for e-commerce is dependent on where e-commerce happens. In markets where one marketplace controls 60%+ of volume, when that marketplace integrates BNPL natively, your TAM shrinks to 40% overnight. Build for that scenario from day one.
🔥 Wirecard
Fraud
Wirecard, a DAX-listed German payment processor, admitted in June 2020 that €1.9B supposedly held in Philippine bank accounts did not exist. Auditor EY had signed off for nine years. The Financial Times had raised doubts for years. CEO Markus Braun was arrested. COO Jan Marsalek fled to Russia and remains a fugitive.
// LESSON
A DAX listing is not due diligence. If cash balances cannot be independently verified, they do not exist. Auditors sign documents, not reality.

// EXPLORE FURTHER