All autopsies

// STARTUP COMPARISON

Agora News vs Silicon Valley Bank

Agora News failed in 2018 due to Unit Economics. Silicon Valley Bank failed in 2023 due to Unit Economics. Both failed for the same reason — Unit Economics.

METRIC🔥 Agora News🔥 Silicon Valley Bank
SectorMediaFintech
CountrySpainUSA
Founded20121983
Died20182023
Raised€3MPublic company (SIVB)
Peak500K monthly readers$209B assets
Primary CauseUnit EconomicsUnit Economics

// WHY EACH FAILED

🔥 Agora News
Unit Economics
Agora News was an independent Spanish digital news outlet that built its distribution on Facebook organic reach, reaching 500K monthly readers by 2015. Facebook's 2016 algorithm change that drastically reduced organic page reach collapsed Agora's traffic by 60%+ overnight. Without a direct audience relationship (email list, app), the outlet had no way to replace Facebook reach. Digital advertising rates insufficient for the remaining traffic made the model unviable.
// LESSON
A media business with its distribution entirely on Facebook is a tenant paying rent with content. When Facebook changes the algorithm, the landlord reclaims the building. Build direct audience relationships before you need them.
🔥 Silicon Valley Bank
Unit Economics
Silicon Valley Bank collapsed in March 2023 after a bank run driven by duration mismatch. SVB had invested deposits in long-duration bonds during low-rate periods. When rates rose, those bonds lost value. SVB announced a $1.8B loss on bond sales and a capital raise — triggering a $42B bank run in 24 hours. The FDIC seized SVB on March 10, 2023 — the second-largest bank failure in US history.
// LESSON
Asset-liability duration matching is not optional for banks. Investing short-term deposits in long-term bonds is a structural bet against rising rates. SVB had $80B in long-duration bonds when the Fed began the fastest rate rise cycle in 40 years.

// EXPLORE FURTHER