All autopsies

// STARTUP COMPARISON

Theranos vs FTX

Theranos failed in 2018 due to Fraud. FTX failed in 2022 due to Fraud. Both failed for the same reason — Fraud.

METRIC🔥 Theranos🔥 FTX
SectorBiotechWeb3
CountryUSAUSA
Founded20032019
Died20182022
Raised$945M$1.8B
Peak$9B valuation$32B valuation
Primary CauseFraudFraud
Flame %🔥 98%🔥 95%

// WHY EACH FAILED

🔥 Theranos
Fraud
Theranos failed because its Edison blood-testing device never worked. The company raised $945M while falsifying results using conventional machines. A 2015 Wall Street Journal investigation by John Carreyrou exposed the fraud. Elizabeth Holmes was convicted in January 2022 and sentenced to 11 years in prison.
// LESSON
The product must work. "Fake it till you make it" ends at the FDA boundary. No amount of narrative replaces a working device.
🔥 FTX
Fraud
FTX collapsed in November 2022 when CoinDesk revealed that Alameda Research held most assets in FTT token. A bank run followed. $8B in customer funds were missing. Sam Bankman-Fried was convicted in November 2023 and sentenced to 25 years in prison.
// LESSON
Customer funds are not operating capital. This is accounting 101, not a crypto insight. The collapse was a fraud problem, not a crypto problem.

// IN THE SIMULATION

In UnicornBurn Season 0, Theranos triggers PRODUCT_VALIDATION_FAILURE before reaching Seed round. The simulation validates product claims before unlocking funding rounds — unlike Theranos investors.

FTX triggers CUSTOMER_FUNDS_MISMATCH at the first liquidity event. The simulation tracks segregated customer funds as a hard constraint — not a suggestion.

// EXPLORE FURTHER