All autopsies

// STARTUP COMPARISON

Finkargo vs Wirecard

Finkargo failed in 2023 due to Unit Economics. Wirecard failed in 2020 due to Fraud. Different causes, different sectors, different eras — but the same simulation outcome.

METRIC🔥 Finkargo🔥 Wirecard
SectorFintechFintech
CountryColombiaGermany
Founded20211999
Died20232020
Raised$30MPublic (DAX)
Peak$30M raised€24B market cap
Primary CauseUnit EconomicsFraud

// WHY EACH FAILED

🔥 Finkargo
Unit Economics
Finkargo provided supply chain financing to Colombian SMEs importing goods, allowing them to finance international purchase orders. After raising $30M, rising global interest rates in 2022-2023 increased Finkargo's cost of capital while simultaneously increasing default rates as import businesses struggled with currency depreciation and higher shipping costs. The company shut down in 2023.
// LESSON
Import trade finance has triple macro exposure: USD funding costs, local currency depreciation, and global shipping disruption. Model all three simultaneously at stress levels before underwriting a single loan.
🔥 Wirecard
Fraud
Wirecard, a DAX-listed German payment processor, admitted in June 2020 that €1.9B supposedly held in Philippine bank accounts did not exist. Auditor EY had signed off for nine years. The Financial Times had raised doubts for years. CEO Markus Braun was arrested. COO Jan Marsalek fled to Russia and remains a fugitive.
// LESSON
A DAX listing is not due diligence. If cash balances cannot be independently verified, they do not exist. Auditors sign documents, not reality.

// EXPLORE FURTHER